Covid-19 – a case for medical detectives
The massive, disproportionately frequent deaths of Covid-19 patients with dark skin colour and from southern countries, as well as in New York, London, Stockholm, Madrid, Paris, and other cities and countries with a high proportion of migrants, are apparently also the result of medication errors. Affected are people with a special enzyme deficiency, which occurs mainly in men whose families come from regions where malaria was or is endemic. They are currently being treated with hydroxychloroquine, a drug that is intolerable to them and which is now being used all over the world in the fight against Covid-19.
If this does not stop quickly, there is a threat of mass death, especially in Africa.
WOLFGANG WODARG, 2 May 2020
Before I describe my research on these findings, which are very disturbing to me, I would like to say a few words about the assessment of the corona crisis, the reliability of the SARS-CoV-2 PCR test, as well as the omnipresent fear and how it is used politically.
In my investigations into the events after Wuhan, which have completely changed the world since the beginning of 2020, I quickly became certain that although we are experiencing a new coronavirus variant, in view of the German data on mortality and morbidity it does not differ significantly from what has been or could have been observed in recent years.
Coronaviruses have not been the focus of epidemiological surveillance worldwide, as they have not contributed significantly to globalised seasonal respiratory viral infections, except in the short term in China (SARS 2002/2003) and in the Arab countries (MERS from 2012). There were also no vaccines against them that could be recombined annually, as is the case for influenza.
As is well known, the normal global episodes of illness have been referred to as „pandemics“ since the swine flu of 2009 in an inflationary manner and each time focusing on individual pathogens. In this context, vigilance and historically justified mistrust have long been called for. For if our normal, changing and globally circulating viral winter guests, such as the H1N1 viruses in 2009, already meet the criteria of a pandemic, then the term has become meaningless. Before 2009, things were different; at that time, the necessary characteristics of a pandemic included a great many serious illnesses and numerous deaths, with a worldwide catastrophic overload of health care.
The purely infection-epidemiological aspects of the Wuhan phenomenon are largely clear to me. According to the available figures of the German networks for the surveillance of acute respiratory diseases (ARE), the Arbeitsgemeinschaft Influenza and the Influenza Web, and according to hospital data for ARE, as well as data on the utilization of intensive care units in the country, the flu wave 2019/2020 with its diverse pathogen spectrum has passed without any particularities. Only the consultations in the reporting practices apparently took place much less frequently in the last weeks of the season due to the lockdown.
With regard to acute seasonal respiratory diseases, there is currently no reason to fear increased acute respiratory infections. From a medical point of view, and considering the available data, special precautions are now superfluous – even if the government says otherwise.
The SARS-CoV-2 PCR test: non-specific, medically useless, but scary
Because of the great importance of the Covid-19 event, special attention must be paid to the SARS-CoV-2 PCR test – the only instrument available to measure the virus and to be able to talk about a new spread at all. My assessment of this has not changed since the end of February: Without the PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 viruses designed by German scientists, we would not have noticed a corona „epidemic“ or even a „pandemic“.
The test, after WHO recommended it („not for disease detection“), was used to travel around the country trying to find fragments of SARS virus. An office in China, which one of the developers of the PCR test, Prof. Drosten, did not want to mention by name in an interview on Deutschlandfunk radio, confirmed to the virologist that the test approach used by him had found the SARS fragment he was looking for in the Wuhan SARS virus.
My assessment of the unofficial and non-medical test, which is now used to search for „cases“ worldwide, is as follows:
How can a test that is positive for the many different SARS viruses of bats, dogs, tigers, lions, domestic cats and humans, which have been changing and spreading worldwide for many years, be specifically named for the detection of an allegedly only four-month-old SARS-CoV-2?
It is apparently a sensitive test that gives too many positive results, and can therefore also detect many SARS-like pathogens that have now naturally recombined. This does not deny that the viruses from Wuhan were also present.
However, the test apparently also measures earlier SARS variants, which are constantly changing, can quickly change their hosts and are not found in virologists‘ databases. However, these were and are obviously not considered to be extraordinarily dangerous.
So how do we know that the discrepancy between the many harmless infections and the few more severe courses is not due to the fact that different variants are found equally well with the test used? Especially since it even turns out positive for animal variants!
However, a positive test that is not very meaningful is always frightening and immediately and predictably triggers appropriate behaviour on the part of those affected and those responsible. The widespread testing, the fixation on ventilation stations, the emptying of the clinics for the announced flood of Covid-19 victims and triage exercises caused panic and thus enabled the obedience of a strongly intimidated population.
Can’t the fear go away?
When it became increasingly clear even before the lockdown measures began that Germany would probably be largely spared, two new images of horror dominated the reporting in our country as well and ensured that fear and obedience continued: coffins and deadly chaos in many Italian and Spanish hospitals, refrigerated containers full of corpses and mass graves in New York. The conclusion was that it must be a dangerous epidemic after all.
However, it is unlikely that one and the same virus is so much more harmless in Hamburg than in New York. There must be other reasons for this.
Therefore I focused my research on these new focal points of the event. Perhaps, I hope, it would then be easier to understand why many governments keep talking about the threat of a „second wave“ and the continued need for a lockdown.
It is currently argued that the measures should be maintained more or less until the entire population can be saved by vaccination. One and a half years of a „new normality“ without holidays, festivals, cultural and sports events are demanded and compulsory vaccinations, compulsory tests, tracking and immunity apps are promised.
But why? What makes the government so sure that it considers it necessary to repeal essential parts of the Basic Law, to drive the middle class into bankruptcy and to make workers and employees fall into unemployment? What else is threatening us?
Medical Detectives: A look beneath the surface
So we have to find out what happened, for example, in Northern Italy, Spain or New York. In order to grasp this, more research is needed than is taught in normal epidemiology. In Baltimore, at the now unfortunately institutionally corrupted Johns Hopkins University, I used to attend intensive epidemiological training, which gave me a great deal of methodological knowledge. There was also a branch there called „Medical Detectives“.
Here one could learn from history and on the basis of numerous well-researched cases how health consequences can also arise, for example, from well or food poisoning and which tricks make it difficult to distinguish natural from man-made or even criminal causes. Medical detectives – everyone knows it from crime novels – have perpetrators and victims, motives and murder weapons, alibis and clients.
A disease – even one declared by the WHO – can be a „fake“. In the case of bird flu and swine flu, I have seen and investigated the unscrupulous and corrupt machinations of a pharmaceutical and vaccine industry. Time and again health fears have been created to divert billions of public money into private pockets with dangerous products.
That is why you may also ask about Covid-19: Could there be something else behind the public’s continued anxiety? Qui bono? Who benefits from the fear?
Virologists once again as fear-makers
Besides the WHO, the fear-makers are again some virologists I already know from the past. Most of them – and this is unfortunately already „new normality“ everywhere at medical institutes today – have established close cooperation with the pharmaceutical industry or other investors.
Nowadays, it is easier to become a professor if you have shown skill in obtaining third-party funds. Science has become accustomed to „cheating“, and the universities make this easier through non-transparent spin-offs, public-private partnerships or cooperation with alleged charitable foundations.
The virology department of the Berlin Charité is supported by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation in the matter of Covid-19. A co-author of the PCR test by Drosten et al. is the CEO of the biotech company TIB Molbiol, which is now increasingly producing tests and marketing them at a cost of millions. However, these are detective side findings that do not explain by far what is turning this world upside down.
The majority of experts can already no longer deny that the danger of infection in Germany and its neighbouring countries has passed, without embarrassing themselves for the rest of their careers. And yet there are people in governments, public offices and the scientific community who want to lock us up with fear and keep on going.
My annoyance about this medically incomprehensible panic-mongering and about many epidemic-hygienically nonsensical authorizations and freedom-withdrawing disciplinary measures is also accompanied by the curiosity of a „medical detective“ who is concerned about possible hidden motives. Nevertheless, I do not want to deal here with the political or economic background. The time will probably come for that and that is not my area of expertise.
Is there a „second wave“ coming?
The question I ask myself is: How was it possible to create such horror scenarios with an apparently relatively harmless pathogen, with which critics could be effortlessly eliminated and with which the fear in the population was constantly fed by the media?
I would also like to know on what scientific evidence the Chancellor, her Minister of Health, her court virologist and others continue to announce: The second wave is yet to come. It will be many months yet. We must not go on holiday. We have to be prepared to work from home in the future. We all have to be tested, tracked and vaccinated with a drug that has yet to be tested. Although all this is already in the script entitled „The first modern pandemic“, which Bill Gates published on April 23, it is not medically proven there either.
A tip from New York
On March 31 I received an important tip: New York intensive care physician Dr. Cameron Kyle-Sidell had alerted his colleagues with an astonishing observation. He reported:
„What I experienced, they were not Covid-19 patients. They didn’t have the signs of pneumonia, but looked like passengers on a plane that suddenly lost pressure at high altitude.“
It had to be a disturbance of the oxygen transport in the blood. I researched and ticked off the various known causes of such symptoms one after the other, if they were out of the question because of the progression of the disease. The most probable cause seemed to me to be rapid hemolysis, a destruction of the erythrocytes (red blood cells) that exchange oxygen in the lungs for Co2 that can be breathed in order to transport the oxygen to every corner of our body. Patients then feel suffocated, breathe very quickly and exert themselves.
We know what to do in such a case because it is demonstrated to us in the aircraft before every take-off: Oxygen masks fall from the ceiling and bring relief until everything is back to normal. This is exactly what helped the patients in New York the best. Intubation and ventilation, on the other hand, were wrong and killed people in many places.
The Nigerian dead in Sweden
I was aware of one such case with the same puzzling symptoms, which had been described in 2014 by Swedish pneumologists in a young patient from Nigeria who had died of the disease. At that time, an enzyme deficiency was suspected and actually found to be a possible cause after death, which occurs in many regions of Africa in 20 – 30% of the population.
It is the so-called glucose-6-dehydrogenase deficiency, or „G6PD deficiency“, one of the most common genetic peculiarities, which can lead to threatening haemolysis (dissolution of red blood cells), mainly in men, when certain drugs or chemicals are taken. The following map shows the distribution of this deficiency (source and explanations here).
This hereditary trait is particularly common among ethnic groups living in areas with malaria. The modified G6PD gene offers advantages in the tropics. It makes its carriers resistant to malaria pathogens. However, G6PD deficiency is also dangerous if those affected come into contact with certain substances found in, for example, field beans, currants, peas and a number of medicines.
These include acetylsalicylic acid, metamizole, sulfonamides, vitamin K, naphthalene, aniline, malaria drugs and nitrofurans. The G6PD deficiency then leads to a disruption of the biochemical processes in the red blood cells and – depending on the dose – to mild to life-threatening haemolysis. The debris of the burst erythrocytes subsequently leads to microemboli, which block small vessels throughout the organs. What had caused the illness and death of the young man from Nigeria remained unclear at the time.
A frightening discovery
I looked at the drugs that can cause severe hemolysis in G6PD deficiency and got a big scare. One of the substances that is called very dangerous in all forms of this enzyme deficiency is the anti-malarial drug hydroxychloroquine (HCQ).
But this is precisely the substance that Chinese researchers in Wuhan have been recommending against SARS since 2003. From Wuhan, HCQ with the virus now came back to us as one of the therapeutic options and was accepted as such. At the same time, HCQ was recommended as a promising agent against Covid-19 for further clinical trials with the support of WHO and other agencies.
According to reports, production of this drug is to be increased in Cameroon, Nigeria and other African countries. India is the largest producer of HCQ and exports it to 55 countries. Werner Baumann, Chairman of the Board of Management of Bayer AG, announced at the beginning of April that „various investigations in laboratories and clinics“ had provided first indications that chloroquine might be suitable for the treatment of corona patients. The company then provided several million tablets.
There are now hundreds of trials worldwide, planned or ongoing by different sponsors, in which HCQ is used alone or together with other drugs. When I looked at some large trials to see if patients with G6PD deficiency were excluded, I found no evidence of this in most study plans. In the USA, for example, a large multicenter study with 4,000 subjects from healthy medical personnel is being prepared. Here, however, the term „hypersensitivity“ is only used in general terms, as is the case with all drugs with regard to allergic reactions. A chloroquine/hydroxychloroquine study by Oxford University (NCT04303507) with a planned 40,000 participants also makes no mention of the risk of G6PD deficiency. In another large study by the Pentagon, however, there is an explicit warning to exclude G6PD deficiency patients from the study.
The following graph, which is based on information from the WHO database, shows how many studies on Covid-19 and HCQ have been initiated – and how few of them take enzyme deficiency into account.
Mostly only the cardiac complications of chloroquine or hydroxychloroquine are mentioned, which in Brazil led to the termination of a study with 11 deaths of 81 subjects. It seems, however, that worldwide little attention is paid to this further serious side effect. In addition, due to a lack of alternatives, HCQ has been tolerated and massively used in many countries since the beginning of the year as part of a so-called „compassionate use“. In medicine, compassionate use refers to the use of not yet approved drugs in emergency situations.
During this research, more and more results on more precise evaluations of the deaths in particularly affected cities were received. In New York and other cities in the USA, it was reported that the vast majority of deaths were „African Americans“ – twice as many as would be expected given the proportion of the population.
Also from England, where the mortality data from Euromomo show an increasing death rate since the beginning of April, it was reported that out of about 2000 seriously ill people, 35%, twice as many as expected, came from ethnic „minorities“ („black, Asian or other ethnic minority“), including doctors and medical staff.
A major doctor’s death in Italy remains in urgent need of clarification. The death of about 150 doctors and only a few female doctors is associated with Covid-19. Although age may have played a role in many of these cases, it should be noted that a high prevalence of G6PD deficiency has also been described for some regions of Italy and that in Italy up to 71% of those who tested positive with PCR, as well as the staff, had a prophylactic high level of HCQ. The same applies to Spain. Among the first 15 Covid-19 deaths in Sweden, 6 were among younger migrants from Somalia.
So the frightening result of my research is Typical severe courses with haemolysis, microthrombi and shortness of breath without typical signs of pneumonia occur more frequently where two factors come together:
- Many patients with ancestors from malaria countries with G6PD deficiency
- Prophylactic or therapeutic use of high-dose HCQ
This is exactly what is to be expected in Africa, and this is already the case everywhere where migration is causing a large proportion of the population to migrate from malaria countries. The following diagram shows the process schematically.
Cities such as New York, Chicago, New Orleans, London, or even large cities in Holland, Belgium, Spain and France are such centers. If the test is widely used in these migration hotspots and is expected to be positive in about 10 to 20% of the population, many people from the G6PD countries will also be among them. If they are then treated with high-dose HCQ, either prophylactically or as part of a „compassionate“ use, as planned, then those severe clinical pictures will also be evoked in young people, as we have been presented with by the sensational press, and which keep our fear of Covid-19 alive.
It is unknown how many times this deadly combination has already led to victims. There has been no discussion of the issue among those responsible in the WHO and in governments. There is also a frightening lack of knowledge and responsibility among doctors who are responsible for the treatment of Covid-19 patients or for the staff treating them.
Once again, this connection applies not only to Africa, but also to large parts of Asia, South and Central America, Arabia and the Mediterranean region.
The cases mentioned have nothing to do with Covid-19 disease. A PCR test result leading to the prophylactic prescription of HCQ is sufficient to cause severe disease in up to one third of the people from high-risk populations treated in this way.
HCQ treatment for G6PD deficiency is a dangerous professional error
This could be remedied immediately if all treating physicians worldwide were informed about the contraindication of HCQ. However, the WHO, the CDC, the ECDC, the Chinese SARS specialists, the medical associations, the drug authorities and the German government and its advisors are criminally neglecting to inform the public. In view of the ongoing programmes, this appears to be gross negligence.
It is a malpractice to treat people with G6PD deficiency with high-dose chloroquine derivatives or other drugs known to be dangerous for them. Under the WHO label „‚Solidarity‘ clinical trial for COVID-19 treatments“, healthy people are hastily exposed to approved, lethal experiments. Hundreds of clinical trials, mostly worthless observational studies with parallel approaches, very often also run with HCQ as one of the alternatives.
German drug legislation prohibits the use of unauthorised drugs, but the government still encourages this. A non-validated test that is not approved for diagnostic purposes provides the pretext for the use of life-threatening medication – and all this in an infectious disease for which there is still no evidence that it poses serious risks beyond the risk of the annual flu epidemic.
Full throttle into the catastrophe
The dangers of this epidemic are presented with the help of scientific imposture. An unsuitable test from Berlin provides the pretext for deadly measures all over the world. The consequences of these mistakes lead to emergencies in many regions, which are attributed to an epidemic. This creates the very wave of fear on which so many in business and politics are now riding, and which threatens to bury our fundamental rights under itself.
The public, the media and experts hardly seem to be surprised that in New York and other centres more than twice as many „African Americans“ die as would be expected due to their population share. Even in the studies of deaths in the USA and elsewhere, the risks posed by G6PD deficiency are almost always hidden or forgotten.
When sought-after virologists and other experts have been announcing for a long time that there will be a wave of deaths and terrible conditions in the cities in Africa, do they know about these connections? Or are there other provable reasons that justify such momentous prophecies? Finally: Are these all just topics for science or also for public prosecutors and courts?
Chloroquine may kill many people in Africa, Chicago and elsewhere!
18. April 2020
WHO and many others advocate the use of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) if the SARS-CoV-2 test is positive. HCQ is an old malaria drug, used also with autoimmun diseases but is not officially approved for Covid-19. Most of the recent studies with HCQ (more than 100 on 18.4.2020, 35 new ones last week), which have now been registered in rapid succession, also want to use HCQ alone or in combination with other drugs. HCQ is already being used like that even in completely healthy people „for the prevention of severe courses“. It is also used prophylactically for medical staff. The recommended dose is about 20 times as high as for malaria prophylaxis! (400-800mg per day). The „compassionate“ use and the production (e.g. in Cameroon) of HCQ is currently being ramped up especially in Africa
But so far there is no sufficient evidence for a positive clinical effect of HCQ in SARS-CoV-2 positives, let alone in test negatives.
However, HCQ is one of the drugs that causes severe damage to red blood cells in cases of hereditary glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) deficiency.
The erythrocytes then burst en masse. Their debris clogs the smallest blood vessels and damages sensible organs like kidneys and brain. In addition erythrocytes are then missing to transport oxygen throughout the body. This is one of the reasons why there is severe shortness of breath without typical signs of peumonia.
The acute symptoms improve spontaneously after the dangerous medication is stopped, thanks to a rapid normalisation of the blood count.
Other serious side effects of HCQ like arrhythmia or eye damage do not have this hereditary background.
Almost nobody seems to be aware, that in sub-Saharan Africa, for example, the hereditary G6PD deficiency is widespread among 20-30% of the population? But also in other Countries, where malaria was or still is endemic, there is a high prevalence of G6PD deficiency . It must also be remembered in families with a migration background e.g. in Chicago (10 to 12%), New York and elsewhere.
Johns Hopkins University is warning not to use „Aspirin, certain antibiotics (which?),Fava beans and Moth balls“ but does not mention chloroquin derivates!
If people with G6PD deficiency get this HCQ-prophylaxe or therapy the symptoms will appear soon.
1-2 days after the start of treatment a very severe clinical picture with sudden weakness, dizziness, respiratory distress and signs of organ damage may end deadly, if the toxic medication is not stopped immediately.
So using the questionable SARS-CoV-2 test as a trigger for treatment or prevention with dangerous drugs like HCQ may kill many, without any pandemic being in sight. (See my comment in BMJ here)
This genetic peculiarity is also common in Mediterranean countries and in all regions where malaria has occurred or is still occurring.
Without PCR-Tests there would be no reason for special alarms.
We are currently not measuring the incidence of coronavirus diseases, but the activity of the specialists searching for them.
by Wolfgang Wodarg
The corona hype is not based on any extraordinary public health danger. However, it causes considerable damage to our freedom and personal rights through frivolous and unjustified quarantine measures and restrictions. The images in the media are frightening and the traffic in China’s cities seems to be regulated by the clinical thermometer.
Evidence based epidemiological assessment is drowning in the mainstream of fear mongers in labs, media and ministries.
The carnival in Venice was cancelled after an elderly dying hospital patient was tested positive. When a handful of people in Northern Italy also were tested positive, Austria immediately closed the Brenner Pass temporarily.
Due to a suspected case of coronavirus, more than 1000 people were not allowed to leave their hotel in Tenerife. On the cruise ship Diamond Princess 3700 passengers could not disembark., Congresses and touristic events are cancelled, economies suffer and schools in Italy have an extra holyday.
At the beginning of February, 126 people from Wuhan were brought to Germany by plane and remained there in quarantine two weeks in perfect health. Corona viruses were detected in two of the healthy individuals.
We have experienced similar alarmist actions by virologists in the last two decades. WHO’s „swine flu pandemic“ was in fact one of the mildest flu waves in history and it is not only migratory birds that are still waiting for „birds flu“. Many institutions that are now again alerting us to the need for caution have let us down and failed us on several occasions. Far too often, they are institutionally corrupted by secondary interests from business and/or politics.
If we do not want to chase frivolous panic messages, but rather to responsibly assess the risk of a spreading infection, we must use solid epidemiological methodology. This includes looking at the „normal“, the baseline, before you can speak of anything exceptional.
Until now, hardly anyone has paid attention to corona viruses. For example, in the annual reports of the Robert-Koch-Institute (RKI) they are only marginally mentioned because there was SARS in China in 2002 and because since 2012 some transmissions from dromedaries to humans have been observed in Arabia (MERS). There is nothing about a regularly recurring presence of corona viruses in dogs, cats, pigs, mice, bats and in humans, even in Germany.
However, children’s hospitals are usually well aware, that a considerable proportion of the often severe viral pneumonia is also regularly caused or accompanied by corona viruses worldwide.
In view of the well-known fact that in every „flu wave“ 7-15% of acute respiratory illnesses (ARI) are coming along with coronaviruses, the case numbers that are now continuously added up are still completely within the normal range.
About one per thousand infected are expected to die during flu seasons. By selective application of PCR-tests – for example, only in clinics and medical outpatient clinics – this rate can easily be pushed up to frightening levels, because those, who need help there are usually worse off than those, who are recovering at home. The role of such s selection bias seems to be neglected in China and elsewhere.
Since the turn of the year, the focus of the public, of science and of health authorities has suddenly narrowed to some kind of blindness. Some doctors in Wuhan (12 million inhabitants) succeeded in attracting worldwide attention with initially less than 50 cases and some deaths in their clinic, in which they had identified corona viruses as the pathogen.
The colourful maps that are now being shown to us on paper or screens are impressive, but they usually have less to do with disease than with the activity of skilled virologists and crowds of sensationalist reporters.
We are currently not measuring the incidence of coronavirus diseases, but the activity of the specialists searching for them.
Wherever such the new tests are carried out – there about 9000 tests per week available in 38 laboratories throughout Europe on 13 February 2020 – there are at least single cases detected and every case becomes a self-sustaining media event. The fact alone that the discovery of a coronavirus infection is accompanied by a particularly intensive search in its vicinity explains many regional clustersi.
The horror reports from Wuhan were something, that virologists all over the world are waiting for. Immediately, the virus strains present in the refrigerators were scanned and compared feverishly with the reported newcomers from Wuhan.
A laboratory at the https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.3.2000045#html_fulltext and was the first to be allowed to market its in-house tests worldwide. Prof C. Drosten was interviewed on 23rd of january 2020 and described how the Test was established. He said, that he cooperated with a Partner from China, who confirmed the specific sensitivity of the Charitè-Test for the Wuhan coronavirus. Other Tests from different Places followed soon and found their market.
However, it is better not to be tested for corona viruses. Even with a slight „flu-like“ infection the risk of coronavirus detection would be 7% – 15% . This is, what a prospective monitoring in Scotland (from 2005 to 2013) may teach us. The scope, the possible hits and the significance of the new tests are not jet validated. It would be intersting to have soe tests not only on airports and cruising ships but on german or italian cats, mice or even bats.
But if you want to give evidence to a spreading pandemic by using PCR-Tests only, this is what should have been done after a prospective cross sectional protocoll.
So beware of side effects. Nowadays positive PCR tests have tremendous consequences for the everyday life of the patient and his wider environment, as can be seen in all media without effort.
However, the finding itself has no clinical significance. It is just another name for acute respiratory illnesses (ARI), which as every year put 30% to 70% of all people in our countries more or less out of action for a week or two every winter.
According to a prospective ARI-virus monitoring in Scotland from 2005 to 2013, the most common pathogens of acute respiratory diseases were: 1. rhinoviruses, 2. influenza A viruses, 3. influenza B viruses, 4. RS viruses and 5. coronaviruses.
This order changed slightly from year to year. Even with viruses competing for our mucous membrane cells, there is apparently a changing quorum, as we know it from our intestines in the case of microorganisms and from the Bundestag in the case of political groups.
So if there is now to be an increasing number of „proven“ coronavirus infections. in China or in Italy: Can anyone say how often such examinations were carried out in previous winters, by whom, for what reason and with which results? When someone claims that something is increasing, he must surely refer to something, that has been observed before.
It can be stunning, when an experienced disease control officer looks at the current turmoil, the panic and the suffering it causes. I’m sure many of those responsible public health officers would probably risk their jobs today, as they did with the „swine flu“ back then, if they would follow their experience and oppose the mainstream.
Every winter we have a virus epidemic with thousands of deaths and with millions of infected people even in Germany. And coronaviruses always have their share.
So if the Federal Government wants to do something good, it could learn from epidemiologists in Glasgow and have all clever minds at the RKI observe prospectively (!!!) and watch how the virom of the German population changes from year to year.
Some questions for the evaluation of the current findings
- Which prospective, standardised monitoring of acute respiratory diseases with or without fever (ILI, ARI) is used for the epidemiological risk assessment of coronavirus infections observed in Wuhan Italy, South Korea, Iran and elsewhere (baseline).
- How do the comparable (!) results of earlier observations differ from those now reported by the WHO? (in China, in Europe, in Italy, in Germany, etc.)
- What would we observe this ARI-season if we would ignore the new PCR-testing?
- How valid and how comparable are the detection methods used with regard to sensitivity, specificity and pathogenetic or prognostic relevance?
- What is the evidence or probability that the observed corona viruses 2019/2020 are more dangerous to public health than previous variants?
- If you find them now, how can you proove, they were not there (e.g. in animals) before.
- How do you make shure, that a positive tested case is not in the same time suffering/dying from other virus co-infections?
- What considerations have been made or taken into account to exclude or minimise sources of bias (sources of error)?
Some important questions for science
- Is Covid-19 in Italy a model for the pandemics that threatens the world?
- What does the SARS-2-CoV test really measure?
- Does the test give positive results in human pets or other tame animals?
- Is it possible, that so many infected are so easily recovering if it is a really new virus?
- What is the pathogenetic role and impact of Covid-19 compared to „normal“ flu?
- Which preventive actions are necessary in addition to those during normal flu-seasons?
About the author
Dr. med. Wolfgang Wodarg, born in 1947, is an internist and pulmonary physician, specialist for hygiene and environmental medicine as well as for public health and social medicine. After his clinical activity as an internist, he was, among other things, a public health officer in Schleswig-Holstein for 13 years, at the same time lecturer at universities and universities of applied sciences and chairman of the expert committee for health-related environmental protection at the Schleswig-Holstein Medical Association; in 1991 he received a DAAD scholarship to Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, USA (epidemiology).
As a member of the German Bundestag from 1994 to 2009, he was initiator and speaker in the Enquête Commission „Ethics and Law of Modern Medicine“, member of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe, where he was chairman of the Subcommittee on Health and deputy chairman of the Committee on Culture, Education and Science. In 2009, he initiated the Committee of Inquiry into WHO’s role in H1N1 (swine flu) in Strasbourg, where he remained as a scientific expert after leaving Parliament. Since 2011 he has been working as a freelance university lecturer, doctor and health scientist and was a volunteer member of the board and head of the health working group at Transparency International Germany until 2020.